I started serious Investing Journey in Jan 2000 to create wealth through long-term investing and short-term trading; but as from April 2013 my Journey in Investing has changed to create Retirement Income for Life till 85 years old in 2041 for two persons over market cycles of Bull and Bear.

Since 2017 after retiring from full-time job as employee; I am moving towards Investing Nirvana - Freehold Investment Income for Life investing strategy where 100% of investment income from portfolio investment is cashed out to support household expenses i.e. not a single cent of re-investing!

It is 57% (2017 to Aug 2022) to the Land of Investing Nirvana - Freehold Income for Life!


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This blog is authored by an old multi-bagger blue chips stock picker uncle from HDB heartland!

"The market is not your mother. It consists of tough men and women who look for ways to take money away from you instead of pouring milk into your mouth." - Dr. Alexander Elder

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Sunday 28 March 2010

Investing Behavioural Bias - Overconfidence

Dr Kahneman was asked what fools us most frequently. That was simple, he said: overconfidence

"It's the idea that you know better than the market, which is a very strange idea," Dr Kahneman told The Washington Post.  "Individual investors have no business at all thinking they can do better."

So beware of low liquidity stocks and there are reasons for being unloved by the market unless you think Dr Kahneman is talking rubbish.

3 comments:

  1. True to some extent, i guess this is one of the main reasons to go with Index investing.

    Btw...any idea if this Dr Kahneman is referring to Daniel Kahneman? If i'm not wrong, i think alot of research on "value" is based on his work many years ago.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Princeton University psychologist Daniel Kahneman was awarded the Nobel Prize in Economics for, as the Swedes put it, integrating "insights from psychology into economics, thereby laying the foundation for a new field of research."

    ReplyDelete

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